From Cambridge to Eternity: “AI vs. Job Loss 02”
Hated
by the former US president Harry S. Truman, the economy has two hands. Where
there is a “take,” there is a “give.” Where there is no “give,” there is no “take.”
More generally, where there is an action, there is a reaction and vice versa. Therefore, there in the
economy is no such thing as “equilibrium” or ceteris paribus. In other words, an “organism in equilibrium” must
be an oxymoron in the worse sense; a life on the Isle of the Dead?
In the first place, none of us in
the hat of “the household” of economics would like to be put to “equilibrium”
in any sense of the term.
The
Concern: “AI and Job Loss”
Don’t worry, be even happier!
Where
there is demand for AI, there will eventually be supply of AI. Where there is
no demand for AI, there is absolutely no supply of AI in and from the right
mind.
Scenario
#1. Suppose AI’s dominate mechanical creation per annum of products for the present and assets for the future.
Most of us might become not to have much to do on the side of such mechanical
creation. As a natural consequence, nearly everybody has too much leisure time,
or time of “indolence” Thomas Malthus talked about.
Let us be jubilant and take it as
good news. We can now think of all different kinds of exciting events not
written in textbooks or FM’s (formal manuals). That’s highly plausible primarily
because Homo Sapience is created to hate boredom. Then on, we can tell with
surety that RI’s are much better than AI’s in reducing the aggregate human
boredom of the nation. If so, RI’s will help other RI’s avoid boredom, or "kill
time" for that matter, while earning incomes to spend for “necessaries, conveniences
and luxuries” Thomas Malthus talked about.
We already told you so, “Even pets
prefer RI’s to AI’s for the sake of excitement.”
Scenario
#2. Suppose Sam Altman & Co., Ltd.
dominating a particular segment or two of the economy. There are good news and
bad news as always. Bad news: The number of trillionaires is limited.
Good news: The effect of their
wealth is non-limited to them. The wealth
of theirs helps keep the rest of population living on. First, “money” as “the purchasing
power” must turn back and forth between the two parties; otherwise, money would “be of no use” to either side. In this regard, highly-progressive
income tax or wealth tax is a possibility, to the mutual benefit nevertheless. The
“physical assets” they have the title to must be beneficial to the rest of
population; otherwise, the assets
would “be of no use” to either side. In this regard, their assets could be
rented at bottom low rates, to the mutual benefit at any rate.
We never lose jobs but we change
hats: we create value outside of AI’s’ dominance.
The
Worst Scenario of All. The company itself
would perish if the “otherwise” as above of “their wealth being useless” turns
out to be the case. With AI’s down, the economy would turn back to "as usual." Lots
of jobs returned to the rest of population, we do not need to worry and can
just be as happy as before, if not happier.
No sooner we lost the jobs than Sam
Altman & Co. had stopped creating AI’s.
Reckoning. The
head, we win. The tail, we end up even. C’est
la vie en rose!
Who would be the party to lose out
if ever, RI’s or AI’s? Absolutely positively, the loser is to be the latter.
Andrea Bocelli, Edith Piaf - La Vie En Rose
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