From Cambridge to Eternity: “Marginal Propensity to Consume”
We need
accounting because our time is limited; more specifically, accounting is for promotion
of efficiency, namely, value created
per hour (U∙M∙T-1).
Moreover, the efficiency accounting itself shall be periodic because we need
utilities (U∙M)
as energy of indefinite kinds while the bodily capacity, physical, physiological
or psychological, is limited.
Let us take the year (annum in Latin) as the accounting period
in discussing macroeconomic affairs (mostly in U∙M∙T-1,
or utilities per annum).
The
Cycle of Life. History is irrelevant
except for lessons therefrom. We have two economically-relevant genres in life,
that is, the current year and the many future years (ante the River). On one hand, we have to consume things necessary
for survival in the current year and prepare for the better-yet-uncertain number
of years still to come. On the other hand, our annual income over the lifecycle
changes far more greatly than the wants
for utilities of “final goods and services” do.
We
are destined to fill the gap in each and every year (T-1) by way of “asset
management” or “portfolio management” more professionally. Needless to say, the
asset includes the human asset, or “credit” in Finance. We come back to this tomorrow.
“Marginal
Propensity to Consume.” Now suppose a
four-person closed economy in 1936 as follows with the earliest in lifecycle at
the top and down:
National Income Accounting (in trillion
thalers per annum)
|
Person |
Monetary Income |
“Consumption” |
± Asset
Position |
||
|
Spending |
MPC* |
“Saving” |
MPS* |
||
|
Jane D’Introduction |
10 |
100 |
10.0 |
-90 |
-9.0 |
|
Jack de Growth |
200 |
250 |
1.3 |
-50 |
-0.3 |
|
Jill da Maturity |
700 |
300 |
0.4 |
400 |
0.6 |
|
John von Decline |
90 |
150 |
1.7 |
-60 |
-0.7 |
|
“Nominal” GNI≡GDP |
1,000 |
800 |
0.8 |
200 |
0.2 |
*MPC for Marginal propensity to consume; MPS
for saving
More than clearly, the “cross-sectional”
(or interpersonal to be precise) difference in the “marginal propensity to
consume” (MPC) is much more dramatic than the life cycle might imply. As much clearly,
such names as “unearned income” or “capital income” is irrelevant as for the
economy as a whole, whether “fallacy of composition is any guide or not.
We discuss an open economy later to find out that openness does not make any difference.
Thereafter
in Here. In the years of 1937 and 1938, a
few of us be dead while a few others be born. In years from 1939 to 2000, a
half of us be dead while more or less as many be born. In 125 years after 1936,
all of us are replaced by about the same number of Homo Sapience.
Year in year out, life does not
cycle across the space, but always and everywhere it cycles over the time. Under
the blue sky, the MPC “0.8” of the aggregate
economy would remain at that “pretty much standard fraction,” particularly in
the short run wherein “creative destruction” would belong to the margin of error.
Logically saying, the shorter the run the more constant the MPC is.
There-aside
in Eternity. Where time flies across, the
consumption, or the total spending save savings (S≡ Y- C),
would certainly increase in response to and only to “fiscal policy” of income
redistribution.
The
only regret: GDP (Y), real or nominal,
would not even “vary” per light-year
(LY); or, ΔY/ΔLY= ΔC/ΔLY+ ΔS/ΔLY≡ 0,000,000,000,000 (thalers
per lux-annum).
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