Velocity Wanted: What “the Price” Really is
One of the most vicious names in economics
is “equilibrium.” As a matter of simple fact, no organism can be in equilibrium
until post mortem. That’s the very definition
of “organism,” as opposed to “mechanism”: There in an organism indefinitely
many parts act, react and interact and that incessantly so as to allow no room
for equilibrium.
What the Price Means.
Economics is no more “empirical” than physics is. In other words, “science”
starts from abstraction also called idealization. For instance, the Newtonian
gravity theory never applies as is to the reality where all different things, the
observer-cum-researcher included, coexist with the apple and the Earth. Don’t
get Sir Newton wrong, either: Owing to Eugene Fama from Chicago, in the first
place: “Theories are approximations. Nothing is completely anything.” The great
Theory of Gravity is a rough, and very rough in fact, approximation to the
reality.
Science
is not engineering, after all.
The
“equilibrium price” or the price more
simply is defined as something like this: The idealized “price of one” that
might have cleared the market for trade of a predefined product of utility (M∙U) per confined community (L-2) per definitive period of time (T-1).
There
is no way whatsoever we can name “the price” (p) or “the quantity” traded (q)
if any of the three boundary conditions is missing. Specifically, we can name “the
price” as the ex-post average of different
prices that might have equalized the “aggregate quantity sold” to the “aggregate
quantity bought” per period in the market. We, macroeconomist or
otherwise, shall never forget that the
price is imagined, or conceived if we will, to be “one” over the particular “one”
period.
The
market is the conceptual framework, stupid. Don’t even think about empiricism. Economics is no political economy. There is
no such thing as “empirical science” exogenous to Eternity. TINST as “macroeconomics”!
What the Price
Level Means. First of all, the
market is not the economy. The market is of the apple, for instance, one of indefinitely
many goods to choose from. On the contrary, “There is no alternative” as for
the economy, to borrow from the great British PM Laura Norder. By definition in
general and due to the GAAP in particular, there is only one GDP, one AS, and
one AD. To
eyes of the rest of us: Y≡ AS≡ AD, period.
There
would be no question that the “Y” for
the “gross domestic products” is defined per nation per year. So must
the price level (P) be. For instance,
how many “economy” per annum, “GDP” per annum or “price level” per annum is there in France or Mexico? Is either Y or P variable along the
abscissa or the ordinate (L-1) in a model of coordinate system?
To be “intellectually honest” (cf. Paul Krugman in 2007 to Milton
Friedman ante 2006), there was, is or
will be only one price level (P) in
FY 2007, 2025 or 2525, even in the US or the UK. The price level “is” always sticky in its completeness “everywhere except
for in” Cambridge (borrowed from Robert Solow).
Macroeconomists might open the
first textbook ever on macro-Economics (1948) to page Nine (p.9) for the sake of
learning about fallacy of composition.
And, they would possibly realize that the AS-AD model is a still-born child of the particular
misconception.
In the meantime, the rest of us
would not so lightly “speculate” how the economy works in the short or long run
(cf. J.S. Mill, 1848, Preface). For
instance, the market is a microcosm, while the economy a macrocosm. The price
is the proxy of value, while the price
level is the emptiness in its entirety. The latter is nothing but an index,
your Excellency.
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