Fallacy of Composition: How long is a Price Sticky?
Opening
Quizzes. How long is the price, the wage
or the interest rate sticky?
<Group 1>
The price of a good or a service (answer)
Grocery
(a week), wine (a month), engine oil (a quarter), haircut
(a year), dental treatment (three years), DMV service (10 years)
<Group 2>
The wage rate
Daily
bread-earner (a day), weekly contractor (a week), the factory
worker (a fortnight), blue-berry picker (a month), cabbage-field
worker (a quarter), cotton-field worker (two quarters) office worker (a year), housemaid (five
years), slave (lifetime)
<Group 3>
The rental rate of a site
Hotel
room (a day), motel room (a week), summer camp (a quarter),
cottage around a working-holiday farm (a year), urban apartment (two
years), office building (five years), warehouse (10 years), charted
land (99 years)
<Group 4>
The rental rate of capital stock
Coin-car
cleaner (a minute), washing machine (10 minutes), monthly car
rental (a month), quarterly robot rental (a quarter), printing
press rental for good (indefinite)
<Group 5>
The rental rate of credit
Monthly
time deposit (a month), quarterly loan (a quarter), FRN (a month or a quarter
as contracted), yearly fixed-rate loan (a year), bullet bond (lifetime)
Closing
Quiz. There is only one quarterly GDP per quarter.
There is only one annual GDP per annum.
With that said how long is the quarterly price level sticky? How long is the annual
price level sticky?
Well,
your guess is as good as mine.
See
I Told You So. All prices are sticky
on their own right. In the first place, the price in the market and the price
level in the economy are an average to be found ex post at the end of the respective accounting period.
Exogenous to the war room, there
cannot be such a thing as Case B, Case C and the like; neither the price pB or pC nor the price level PB or PC.
In the first place, economic life is competition in the battle field, really,
analogously, metaphorically and nominally. In the second place, life is never like a crawling or a climbing
on a spatial line (L) but it is a living on the time line (T), really, analogously, metaphorically and nominally.
No
Rule without an Exception. We when in
macroeconomics (e.g. Gregory Mankiw, Macroeconomics)
often find the price level is “sticky” only on the fraction of s and “flexible” on the rest 1-s so that we may get this
upward-sloping aggregate supply curve: P=
s∙EP+ (1– s)∙[P+ a∙(Y– Y*)].
Question
1. When Y is the quarterly GDP, what period does P stand for, the quarter, the whole year, the indefinite or the eventual?
Or else, the very moment of drawing the AS-AD model?
What about EP?
Question
2. When Y is the annual GDP, what period does P stand for, the quarter, the whole year, Eternal, or the moment?
What about EP?
The
Rest of Us: The quarterly price level is sticky in
the quarter but flexible over the year of four quarters. We would never know in
what principles the fraction s were
come by. Neither would we do how EP were
measured, conceptually, practically, virtually and “empirically.”
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