Fallacy of Composition: Overview
For
a starter, we quote from two geo-famed macroeconomists.
Paul Samuelson: “…one single
confusion or fallacy, called by logicians the ‘fallacy of composition. What is
true for each is not necessarily true for all; and conversely, what is true for
all might be quite false for each individual” (Economics, 1948 p.9)
Ben Bernanke: “Although
deflation and the zero bound on nominal interest rates create a significant
problem for those seeking to borrow, they impose an even greater burden on
households and firms that had accumulated substantial debt before the onset of
the deflation.” (“Deflation: Making Sure ‘It’ Doesn't Happen Here,” a speech in
2002)
Alas, none other than Bernanke, a
student of Samuelson, commits the fallacy of composition. He forgets that there
is yin for every yang. Accordingly, there cannot be such a thing as the “zero
bound.” Put it different, any “significant problem” would not only to borrowers
but also to lenders, so as for the two parties jointly to get rid in the shortest run
of any “zero bound on nominal interest rates.” This is very true with or
without the Fed and the governors: The economy is much more than the Fed.
Amazingly to some alarmingly to
others, we can find numerous examples where macroeconomists fall in the
solidity trap of “fallacy of composition.” Ben Bernanke as above is merely a
drop in the bucket. We start off with a typical Keynesian concept:
The Paradox of Thrift. Master preaches as follows (p.84):
Apostle seconds as the following (p.271):
According to the two most classic of classical conjectures, each can save more but all would never and nowhere so. Yes, “fallacy of composition,” sort of!
Fly
in the Ointment. Alas, the two of them
get both “each” and “all” wrong. They certainly are “confused” between finance
and economy. We come back to this critical issue in fine.
In
the Meantime. We go over “extraordinary
popular” fallacies of composition in Cambridge macroeconomics as follows.
|
1) The
ZLB and the liquidity trap 2) Hand
vs hands 3) Nonentity
vs entity vs infinity 4) Moment
vs period vs eternity 5) A
price, the price and the price level 6) Macroeconomic
indicators 7) The
real variable of quantity 8) The
“money market” 9) The
“product market” 10) The
IS-LM model 11) The
AS-AD model 12) Stickiness
of wages 13) Stickiness
of prices 14) The
production function 15) The
Cobb-Douglas function |
16) The
general equilibrium model 17) The
substitutive good 18) The
complementary good 19) The
indifference curve 20) The
production possibility frontier 21) The
income-good model 22) The
income-leisure model 23) The
backward bending demand 24) The
backward bending supply 25) The
marginal propensity to consume 26) The
fiscal multiplier 27) The
Keynesian cross 28) The
law of diminishing returns 29) The
Solow growth model 30) The
paradox of thrift in fine |
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