Fallacy of Composition: Science vs Engineering
Many
a macroeconomist refers to “empirical science.” Is physics one? Is chemical
engineering another? Is economics a third? Is finance a fourth? Is macroeconomics
yet another? What about “political science”?
Science
for Abstract Theories.
Through history, mathematics used to be named
as “science” (e.g. J.S. Mill, 1861). In modern times, it is not so any more.
Particularly in the US, the term STEM differentiates science, technology,
engineering and mathematics from one another. Generally speaking:
①
Science is of idealized
abstract theories from observations and experiments of the reality, natural or
economic.
②
Technology is a set of
theories and other knowledge more or less readily applicable to the practice.
③
Mathematics is for the
sake of convenience in calculation while being silent to causality and blind to
metric of dimensions and scales. By the way, measurement is one calculation is
another; the former with metric the latter without.
Specifically,
the first step in building a theory is often described as “idealization” or “abstraction”
(抽象, chōuxiàng in pinyin).
This is an absolute necessity in most cases because no real event takes place
in a standalone simplistic environment.
For instance, Sir Isaac Newton
focuses on the apple (M for mass) and the earth (M) when he conceives the Law
of Gravity, a prototypical “theory” of physics. Any of us can easily imagine
what if he tried to take all the environmental elements into account. What
about the mass (M) of his own? What if the assistant on site snatches the apple
in the drop?
After all, theories are
approximations as Eugene Fama from Chicago once quipped. Truthfully, the more
precise a theory the more useless it becomes; again, the descriptive prescription
of theory “is useless until it is” idealized (from Irving Fisher, 1930).
Engineering
of Practical Art. Arriving at Engineering,
we are to take into consideration much more, way much more information than a theory
or a technology. In short, engineering is no less a practice than The Practice of Management (Peter
Drucker, 1954). In other words, both engineering and business management are
more of art than of science.
Fatal
Misnomer of Macroeconomics. Some economists
would claim that economics be no science because, for instance, there is no
such thing as a “free” market. Well, they are right or wrong depending on their
definition of “science.”
To be fair among the rest of us, economics
is an abstract science, no question asked. On one hand, “freedom” or liberty is
not feasible without “the rule of law”
F.A. Hayek talked about (1944 and on). On the other hand, laissez-faire Adam Smith talked about is all about the idealized
market fully armed with the rule of
law.
Somehow, we have macroeconomics.
Could it be a science? No, probably not primarily because there is no way to
abstract the national economy. Even more so when the times are particularly difficult
with “major breakdowns of the financial system” Ben Bernanke talks about (2022
at Stockholm).
A
Naïve Question. Which would be more difficult to
manage, a firm or the macro-economy? Would managing, policing or guarding the
economy be an art or an “empirical science”? The answer is up for grabs.
At any rate, the fact of economics
being a science does not grant the so-named “macroeconomics” to be so. No
wonder, what the gargantuan system of Fed does in practice of “macroeconomic” policy
is often described to be “fine-tuning.” How proximate or approximate is fine-tuning
to science?
Some macroeconomists might still exclaim,
“¿Y qué?”
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